Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.003570 0.003901 0.004254 0.004661 0.005118 0.005616 0.006203
2025-11-16 0.002981 0.003439 0.003964 0.004612 0.005399 0.006330 0.007525
2025-11-23 0.002610 0.003119 0.003727 0.004518 0.005529 0.006796 0.008530
2025-11-30 0.002404 0.002955 0.003640 0.004565 0.005803 0.007434 0.009795
2025-12-07 0.002280 0.002874 0.003635 0.004702 0.006189 0.008240 0.011372
2025-12-14 0.002106 0.002708 0.003499 0.004640 0.006286 0.008644 0.012412
2025-12-21 0.001947 0.002546 0.003351 0.004543 0.006314 0.008938 0.013309
2025-12-28 0.001826 0.002426 0.003249 0.004496 0.006403 0.009323 0.014386
2026-01-04 0.001744 0.002352 0.003204 0.004526 0.006605 0.009897 0.015844
2026-01-11 0.001645 0.002248 0.003107 0.004467 0.006658 0.010230 0.016925
2026-01-18 0.001562 0.002161 0.003028 0.004428 0.006736 0.010609 0.018135
2026-01-25 0.001479 0.002068 0.002934 0.004356 0.006753 0.010878 0.019168
2026-02-01 0.001417 0.002007 0.002888 0.004364 0.006916 0.011445 0.020925
2026-02-08 0.001347 0.001929 0.002812 0.004319 0.006985 0.011856 0.022448
2026-02-15 0.001273 0.001841 0.002716 0.004232 0.006970 0.012103 0.023662
2026-02-22 0.001234 0.001805 0.002698 0.004276 0.007194 0.012837 0.026092
2026-03-01 0.001214 0.001798 0.002726 0.004402 0.007584 0.013952 0.029640
2026-03-08 0.001160 0.001734 0.002656 0.004345 0.007615 0.014326 0.031454
2026-03-15 0.001105 0.001663 0.002571 0.004255 0.007574 0.014538 0.032894
2026-03-22 0.001061 0.001610 0.002513 0.004212 0.007621 0.014948 0.034950
2026-03-29 0.001032 0.001581 0.002494 0.004240 0.007815 0.015715 0.038175
2026-04-05 0.000992 0.001530 0.002434 0.004185 0.007830 0.016067 0.040282
2026-04-12 0.000957 0.001487 0.002386 0.004149 0.007882 0.016514 0.042786